Schedule: the flights that flew on Wednesday, Oct 7, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
JETBLUE · FLIGHT B6 817
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Wednesday, October 14
B6 817 · BOS → JFK
departs 6:40 PM ET · arrives 8:04 PM ET
Forecast issued Mon 10:00 PM ET · 45h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 49%
Tue 10/13 53%
Wed 10/14
Thu 10/15 47%
Fri 10/16 57%
Sat 10/17 46%
Sun 10/18 44%
Odds over time
Arrive at JFK more than 15 minutes late?
33%
chance · ±7 pts
+5 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
33%
Leave 15+ late
30%
Arrive 1h+ late
13%
Cancelled
1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
6.8d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at JFK more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 14% · changed +5 pts in 24h
+5 pts
33%
Yes 33%
No 67%
Leave BOS more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 17% · changed +3 pts in 24h
+3 pts
30%
Yes 30%
No 70%
Arrive at JFK more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
13%
Yes 13%
No 87%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to JFK?
On time or early
66%
15–30 min late
7%
30 min–1 hour late
13%
1–2 hours late
9%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
6pm departures from BOS are often late
↑
This flight has been late 40% of the time recently
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↓
Wednesdays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at JFK
Weather at each end
BOS (origin)
Gusts 20 kt Ceiling 200 ft Visibility 0.5 mi Precip 0.01 in
JFK (destination)
Gusts 17 kt Ceiling 4,400 ft Visibility 9 mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.