Schedule: the flights that flew on Wednesday, Oct 7, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
JETBLUE · FLIGHT B6 915
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Wednesday, October 14
B6 915 · BOS → BUF
departs 12:01 PM ET · arrives 1:46 PM ET
Forecast issued Sun 8:00 PM ET · 64h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 25%
Mon 10/12 36%
Tue 10/13 24%
Wed 10/14
Thu 10/15 22%
Fri 10/16 26%
Sat 10/17 22%
Odds over time
Arrive at BUF more than 15 minutes late?
18%
chance · ±2 pts
– · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
18%
Leave 15+ late
16%
Arrive 1h+ late
6%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
6.5d
Now
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at BUF more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 7% · changed – in 24h
–
18%
Yes 18%
No 82%
Leave BOS more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 8% · changed – in 24h
–
16%
Yes 16%
No 84%
Arrive at BUF more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed – in 24h
–
6%
Yes 6%
No 94%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed – in 24h
–
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to BUF?
On time or early
81%
15–30 min late
7%
30 min–1 hour late
5%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
This flight has been late 20% of the time recently
↑
B6's recent on-time record
↑
BOS is prone to delays
↓
Wednesdays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
BUF usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
BOS (origin)
Gusts 19 kt Ceiling 200 ft Visibility 0.8 mi Precip 0.04 in
BUF (destination)
Gusts 13 kt Ceiling 300 ft Visibility 7 mi Precip 0.01 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.