Schedule: the flights that flew on Wednesday, Oct 7, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
DELTA · FLIGHT DL 1358
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Wednesday, October 14
DL 1358 · DEN → SEA
departs 2:02 PM MT · arrives 3:49 PM PT
Forecast issued Sun 11:00 PM ET · 65h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 22%
Tue 10/13 17%
Wed 10/14
Thu 10/15 25%
Fri 10/16 32%
Sat 10/17 20%
Sun 10/18 26%
Odds over time
Arrive at SEA more than 15 minutes late?
37%
chance · ±6 pts
– · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
37%
Leave 15+ late
32%
Arrive 1h+ late
9%
Cancelled
1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
6.7d
Now
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at SEA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 11% · changed – in 24h
–
37%
Yes 37%
No 63%
Leave DEN more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 13% · changed – in 24h
–
32%
Yes 32%
No 68%
Arrive at SEA more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 2% · changed – in 24h
–
9%
Yes 9%
No 91%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed – in 24h
–
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to SEA?
On time or early
62%
15–30 min late
14%
30 min–1 hour late
15%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 400 ft, visibility down to 0.4 mi, 0.4 in of rain forecast at DEN that day
↑
2pm departures from DEN are often late
↑
DEN is busy at that time
↓
Wednesdays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
DL's recent on-time record
Weather at each end
DEN (origin)
Gusts 21 kt Ceiling 400 ft Visibility 0.4 mi Precip 0.42 in
SEA (destination)
Gusts 7 kt Ceiling 700 ft Visibility 7 mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.