Schedule: the flights that flew on Wednesday, Oct 7, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
DELTA · FLIGHT DL 1632
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Wednesday, October 14
DL 1632 · DEN → SLC
departs 8:22 AM MT · arrives 9:50 AM MT
Forecast issued Sun 5:00 PM ET · 65h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Mon 10/12 20%
Tue 10/13 10%
Wed 10/14
Thu 10/15 12%
Fri 10/16 13%
Sat 10/17 12%
Odds over time
Arrive at SLC more than 15 minutes late?
15%
chance · ±2 pts
+7 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
15%
Leave 15+ late
10%
Arrive 1h+ late
3%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
6.4d
Now
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at SLC more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 7% · changed +7 pts in 24h
+7 pts
15%
Yes 15%
No 85%
Leave DEN more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 9% · changed +3 pts in 24h
+3 pts
10%
Yes 10%
No 90%
Arrive at SLC more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 2% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
3%
Yes 3%
No 97%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to SLC?
On time or early
84%
15–30 min late
7%
30 min–1 hour late
5%
1–2 hours late
1%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 200 ft, visibility down to 0.8 mi, 0.3 in of rain forecast at DEN that day
↑
DEN is busy at that time
↑
0.3 in of rain forecast at SLC that day
↓
Early flights usually leave on time
↓
Wednesdays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
DEN (origin)
Gusts 23 kt Ceiling 200 ft Visibility 0.8 mi Precip 0.29 in
SLC (destination)
Gusts 11 kt Ceiling 5,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.32 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.