Schedule: the flights that flew on Wednesday, Oct 7, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
DELTA · FLIGHT DL 1650
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Wednesday, October 14
DL 1650 · RNO → SLC
departs 6:07 AM PT · arrives 8:40 AM MT
Forecast issued Sun 11:00 PM ET · 58h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 12%
Tue 10/13 13%
Wed 10/14
Thu 10/15 6%
Fri 10/16 8%
Sat 10/17 8%
Sun 10/18 9%
Odds over time
Arrive at SLC more than 15 minutes late?
9%
chance · ±1 pts
– · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
9%
Leave 15+ late
5%
Arrive 1h+ late
3%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
6.4d
Now
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at SLC more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 4% · changed – in 24h
–
9%
Yes 9%
No 91%
Leave RNO more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed – in 24h
–
5%
Yes 5%
No 95%
Arrive at SLC more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 2% · changed – in 24h
–
3%
Yes 3%
No 97%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed – in 24h
–
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to SLC?
On time or early
90%
15–30 min late
6%
30 min–1 hour late
<1%
1–2 hours late
1%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
RNO is prone to delays
↑
Mostly benign weather forecast at SLC
↑
Other factors
↓
Early flights usually leave on time
↓
Wednesdays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
RNO (origin)
Gusts 8 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 7 mi Precip none
SLC (destination)
Gusts 14 kt Ceiling 4,600 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.10 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.