Schedule: the flights that flew on Wednesday, Oct 7, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
DELTA · FLIGHT DL 1777
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Wednesday, October 14 Tomorrow
DL 1777 · IAH → LGA
departs 2:11 PM CT · arrives 6:32 PM ET
Forecast issued Tue 12:00 AM ET · 39h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 30%
Wed 10/14
Thu 10/15 44%
Fri 10/16 50%
Sun 10/18 33%
Mon 10/19 30%
Odds over time
Arrive at LGA more than 15 minutes late?
35%
chance · ±1 pts
+2 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
35%
Leave 15+ late
25%
Arrive 1h+ late
6%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
6.6d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at LGA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 16% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
35%
Yes 35%
No 65%
Leave IAH more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 13% · changed +8 pts in 24h
+8 pts
25%
Yes 25%
No 75%
Arrive at LGA more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
6%
Yes 6%
No 94%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to LGA?
On time or early
64%
15–30 min late
17%
30 min–1 hour late
11%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
LGA is prone to delays
↑
Arrivals into LGA at that hour are often late
↑
Mostly benign weather forecast at IAH
↓
Wednesdays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at LGA
Weather at each end
IAH (origin)
Gusts 22 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 9 mi Precip 0.03 in
LGA (destination)
Gusts 17 kt Ceiling 4,400 ft Visibility 9 mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.