Schedule: the flights that flew on Wednesday, Oct 7, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
DELTA · FLIGHT DL 1966
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Wednesday, October 14
DL 1966 · MCI → BOS
departs 7:31 PM CT · arrives 11:43 PM ET
Forecast issued Mon 4:00 PM ET · 52h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 63%
Tue 10/13 50%
Wed 10/14
Thu 10/15 19%
Fri 10/16 26%
Odds over time
Arrive at BOS more than 15 minutes late?
24%
chance · ±2 pts
– · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
24%
Leave 15+ late
31%
Arrive 1h+ late
10%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
6.9d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at BOS more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 10% · changed – in 24h
–
24%
Yes 24%
No 76%
Leave MCI more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 15% · changed – in 24h
–
31%
Yes 31%
No 69%
Arrive at BOS more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed – in 24h
–
10%
Yes 10%
No 90%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed – in 24h
–
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to BOS?
On time or early
75%
15–30 min late
<1%
30 min–1 hour late
13%
1–2 hours late
7%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 267 ft, visibility down to 0 mi, 1.0 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at MCI that day
↑
Arrivals into BOS at that hour are often late
↑
7pm departures from MCI are often late
↓
MCI usually runs smoothly
↓
Wednesdays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
MCI (origin)
Gusts 12 kt Ceiling 267 ft Visibility 0 mi Precip 1.04 in
BOS (destination)
Gusts 20 kt Ceiling 200 ft Visibility 0.3 mi Precip 0.08 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.