Schedule: the flights that flew on Wednesday, Oct 7, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
DELTA · FLIGHT DL 2216
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Wednesday, October 14
DL 2216 · ICT → ATL
departs 5:43 AM CT · arrives 8:54 AM ET
Forecast issued Sun 4:00 PM ET · 63h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 10%
Mon 10/12 4%
Tue 10/13 5%
Wed 10/14
Thu 10/15 4%
Fri 10/16 4%
Sat 10/17 4%
Odds over time
Arrive at ATL more than 15 minutes late?
6%
chance · ±1 pts
+2 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
6%
Leave 15+ late
7%
Arrive 1h+ late
5%
Cancelled
1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
3%
6%
9%
12%
6.3d
Now
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at ATL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 4% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
6%
Yes 6%
No 94%
Leave ICT more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 4% · changed +3 pts in 24h
+3 pts
7%
Yes 7%
No 93%
Arrive at ATL more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 2% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
5%
Yes 5%
No 95%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to ATL?
On time or early
93%
15–30 min late
1%
30 min–1 hour late
0%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 600 ft, 0.7 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at ICT that day
↓
Early flights usually leave on time
↓
5am departures from ICT are usually not late
Weather at each end
ICT (origin)
Gusts 15 kt Ceiling 600 ft Visibility 7 mi Precip 0.82 in
ATL (destination)
Gusts 6 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.