Schedule: the flights that flew on Wednesday, Oct 7, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
DELTA · FLIGHT DL 2273
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Wednesday, October 14
DL 2273 · SLC → CVG
departs 9:40 AM MT · arrives 3:03 PM ET
Forecast issued Mon 5:00 AM ET · 55h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 18%
Tue 10/13 13%
Wed 10/14
Thu 10/15 13%
Fri 10/16 12%
Sat 10/17 10%
Sun 10/18 12%
Odds over time
Arrive at CVG more than 15 minutes late?
15%
chance · ±1 pts
– · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
15%
Leave 15+ late
9%
Arrive 1h+ late
3%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
6.5d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at CVG more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 8% · changed – in 24h
–
15%
Yes 15%
No 85%
Leave SLC more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed – in 24h
–
9%
Yes 9%
No 91%
Arrive at CVG more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 2% · changed – in 24h
–
3%
Yes 3%
No 97%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed – in 24h
–
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to CVG?
On time or early
85%
15–30 min late
8%
30 min–1 hour late
3%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
1%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
0.3 in of rain forecast at CVG that day
↑
Other factors
↑
SLC is busy at that time
↓
Wednesdays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
This flight has been late 9% of the time recently
Weather at each end
SLC (origin)
Gusts 15 kt Ceiling 3,200 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.09 in
CVG (destination)
Gusts 11 kt Ceiling 4,800 ft Visibility 7 mi Precip 0.31 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.