Schedule: the flights that flew on Wednesday, Oct 7, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
DELTA · FLIGHT DL 2292
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Wednesday, October 14
DL 2292 · TVC → DTW
departs 6:08 AM ET · arrives 7:14 AM ET
Forecast issued Sun 7:00 PM ET · 59h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 10%
Mon 10/12 7%
Tue 10/13 11%
Wed 10/14
Thu 10/15 10%
Fri 10/16 10%
Sat 10/17 9%
Odds over time
Arrive at DTW more than 15 minutes late?
12%
chance · ±1 pts
– · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
12%
Leave 15+ late
5%
Arrive 1h+ late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
6.3d
Now
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at DTW more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 7% · changed – in 24h
–
12%
Yes 12%
No 88%
Leave TVC more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 4% · changed – in 24h
–
5%
Yes 5%
No 95%
Arrive at DTW more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 2% · changed – in 24h
–
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed – in 24h
–
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to DTW?
On time or early
87%
15–30 min late
8%
30 min–1 hour late
2%
1–2 hours late
<1%
Over 2 hours late
1%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Other factors
↑
TVC is prone to delays
↑
Cloud base down to 200 ft, visibility down to 2 mi forecast at DTW that day
↓
Early flights usually leave on time
↓
Wednesdays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
TVC (origin)
Gusts 16 kt Ceiling 1,700 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
DTW (destination)
Gusts 10 kt Ceiling 200 ft Visibility 3 mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.