Schedule: the flights that flew on Wednesday, Oct 7, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
DELTA · FLIGHT DL 2722
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Wednesday, October 14
DL 2722 · JAX → ATL
departs 5:30 AM ET · arrives 6:42 AM ET
Forecast issued Sun 7:00 PM ET · 58h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 11%
Mon 10/12 6%
Wed 10/14
Thu 10/15 4%
Fri 10/16 4%
Odds over time
Arrive at ATL more than 15 minutes late?
2%
chance · ±1 pts
– · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
2%
Leave 15+ late
4%
Arrive 1h+ late
1%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
3%
6%
9%
12%
6.2d
Now
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at ATL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 2% · changed – in 24h
–
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
Leave JAX more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 4% · changed – in 24h
–
4%
Yes 4%
No 96%
Arrive at ATL more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 2% · changed – in 24h
–
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed – in 24h
–
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to ATL?
On time or early
97%
15–30 min late
<1%
30 min–1 hour late
<1%
1–2 hours late
<1%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Other factors
↑
ATL is busy at that time
↓
Early flights usually leave on time
↓
5am departures from JAX are usually not late
Weather at each end
JAX (origin)
Gusts 10 kt
Ceiling none (clear)
Visibility 8 mi
Precip none
ATL (destination)
Gusts 6 kt
Ceiling none (clear)
Visibility 9 mi
Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.