Schedule: the flights that flew on Wednesday, Oct 7, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
DELTA · FLIGHT DL 2741
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Wednesday, October 14
DL 2741 · DTW → MCI
departs 12:25 PM ET · arrives 1:24 PM CT
Forecast issued Mon 7:00 PM ET · 41h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 14%
Tue 10/13 11%
Wed 10/14
Thu 10/15 18%
Fri 10/16 16%
Sat 10/17 15%
Sun 10/18 15%
Odds over time
Arrive at MCI more than 15 minutes late?
18%
chance · ±3 pts
+3 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
18%
Leave 15+ late
13%
Arrive 1h+ late
3%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
6.5d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at MCI more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 8% · changed +3 pts in 24h
+3 pts
18%
Yes 18%
No 82%
Leave DTW more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 9% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
13%
Yes 13%
No 87%
Arrive at MCI more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 2% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
3%
Yes 3%
No 97%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to MCI?
On time or early
82%
15–30 min late
8%
30 min–1 hour late
6%
1–2 hours late
1%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 267 ft, visibility down to 2 mi, 1.0 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at MCI that day
↑
12pm departures from DTW are often late
↑
Cloud base down to 300 ft forecast at DTW that day
↓
Wednesdays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
DTW usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
DTW (origin)
Gusts 11 kt Ceiling 300 ft Visibility 7 mi Precip 0.07 in
MCI (destination)
Gusts 12 kt Ceiling 400 ft Visibility 2 mi Precip 1.04 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.