Schedule: the flights that flew on Wednesday, Oct 7, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
DELTA · FLIGHT DL 2796
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Wednesday, October 14
DL 2796 · SLC → DFW
departs 5:40 PM MT · arrives 9:23 PM CT
Forecast issued Mon 7:00 AM ET · 61h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 41%
Tue 10/13 26%
Wed 10/14
Thu 10/15 30%
Fri 10/16 28%
Sat 10/17 22%
Sun 10/18 34%
Odds over time
Arrive at DFW more than 15 minutes late?
26%
chance · ±3 pts
– · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
26%
Leave 15+ late
20%
Arrive 1h+ late
9%
Cancelled
1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
6.8d
Now
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at DFW more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 13% · changed – in 24h
–
26%
Yes 26%
No 74%
Leave SLC more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 13% · changed – in 24h
–
20%
Yes 20%
No 80%
Arrive at DFW more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed – in 24h
–
9%
Yes 9%
No 91%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed – in 24h
–
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to DFW?
On time or early
73%
15–30 min late
10%
30 min–1 hour late
7%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Arrivals into DFW at that hour are often late
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
Cloud base down to 1,000 ft forecast at DFW that day
↓
Wednesdays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at SLC
Weather at each end
SLC (origin)
Gusts 15 kt Ceiling 3,900 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.09 in
DFW (destination)
Gusts 23 kt Ceiling 1,100 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.01 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.