Schedule: the flights that flew on Wednesday, Oct 7, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

DELTA · FLIGHT DL 370 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Wednesday, October 14

DL 370 · MCI → LGA

departs 6:48 AM CT · arrives 10:43 AM ET

Forecast issued Mon 1:00 AM ET · 55h before departure

Arrive at LGA more than 15 minutes late?

8% chance · ±3 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to LGA?

On time or early
91%
15–30 min late
4%
30 min–1 hour late
1%
1–2 hours late
<1%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 200 ft, visibility down to 0.6 mi, 1.4 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at MCI that day

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ 6am departures from MCI are usually not late

Weather at each end

MCI (origin) Gusts10 kt Ceiling200 ft Visibility0.8 mi Precip1.41 in

LGA (destination) Gusts17 kt Ceiling4,700 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

DL 370 · MCI → LGA

Odds over time

How late will it get to LGA?