Schedule: the flights that flew on Wednesday, Oct 7, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

DELTA · FLIGHT DL 572 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Wednesday, October 14

DL 572 · MCI → LGA

departs 10:40 AM CT · arrives 2:32 PM ET

Forecast issued Mon 5:00 AM ET · 55h before departure

Arrive at LGA more than 15 minutes late?

13% chance · ±4 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to LGA?

On time or early
86%
15–30 min late
5%
30 min–1 hour late
4%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 200 ft, visibility down to 0.8 mi, 1.5 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at MCI that day

↑ Arrivals into LGA at that hour are often late

↑ This flight has been late 17% of the time recently

↓ MCI usually runs smoothly

↓ Wednesdays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

MCI (origin) Gusts10 kt Ceiling200 ft Visibility0.8 mi Precip1.49 in

LGA (destination) Gusts17 kt Ceiling4,700 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

DL 572 · MCI → LGA

Odds over time

How late will it get to LGA?