Schedule: the flights that flew on Wednesday, Oct 7, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
DELTA · FLIGHT DL 8843
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Wednesday, October 14
DL 8843 · FLL → MEM
departs 6:31 PM ET · arrives 7:57 PM CT
Forecast issued Mon 9:00 PM ET · 46h before departure
Watch this flight
Odds over time
Arrive at MEM more than 15 minutes late?
13%
chance · ±1 pts
+3 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
13%
Leave 15+ late
18%
Arrive 1h+ late
8%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
6.8d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at MEM more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 11% · changed +3 pts in 24h
+3 pts
13%
Yes 13%
No 87%
Leave FLL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 11% · changed +7 pts in 24h
+7 pts
18%
Yes 18%
No 82%
Arrive at MEM more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed +5 pts in 24h
+5 pts
8%
Yes 8%
No 92%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to MEM?
On time or early
86%
15–30 min late
0%
30 min–1 hour late
5%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
6pm departures from FLL are often late
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
Arrivals into MEM at that hour are often late
↓
Wednesdays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at FLL
Weather at each end
FLL (origin)
Gusts 20 kt Ceiling 4,600 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.01 in
MEM (destination)
Gusts 15 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.13 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.