Schedule: the flights that flew on Wednesday, Oct 7, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
FRONTIER · FLIGHT F9 1175
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Wednesday, October 14
F9 1175 · DEN → SEA
departs 12:59 PM MT · arrives 2:54 PM PT
Forecast issued Mon 2:00 AM ET · 61h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 32%
Tue 10/13 25%
Wed 10/14
Thu 10/15 33%
Fri 10/16 35%
Sat 10/17 31%
Sun 10/18 27%
Odds over time
Arrive at SEA more than 15 minutes late?
31%
chance · ±5 pts
– · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
31%
Leave 15+ late
33%
Arrive 1h+ late
6%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
6.6d
Now
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at SEA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 15% · changed – in 24h
–
31%
Yes 31%
No 69%
Leave DEN more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 15% · changed – in 24h
–
33%
Yes 33%
No 67%
Arrive at SEA more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed – in 24h
–
6%
Yes 6%
No 94%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed – in 24h
–
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to SEA?
On time or early
68%
15–30 min late
15%
30 min–1 hour late
11%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 400 ft, visibility down to 0.6 mi, 0.4 in of rain forecast at DEN that day
↑
DEN is busy at that time
↑
12pm departures from DEN are often late
↓
Wednesdays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
Cloud base down to 700 ft forecast at SEA that day
Weather at each end
DEN (origin)
Gusts 21 kt Ceiling 400 ft Visibility 0.6 mi Precip 0.42 in
SEA (destination)
Gusts 7 kt Ceiling 700 ft Visibility 8 mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.