Schedule: the flights that flew on Wednesday, Oct 7, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
FRONTIER · FLIGHT F9 2871
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Wednesday, October 14
F9 2871 · SJU → ATL
departs 6:24 AM AT · arrives 10:26 AM ET
Forecast issued Mon 1:00 PM ET · 41h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 42%
Tue 10/13 31%
Wed 10/14
Thu 10/15 44%
Fri 10/16 43%
Sat 10/17 39%
Sun 10/18 41%
Odds over time
Arrive at ATL more than 15 minutes late?
16%
chance · ±0 pts
+0 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
16%
Leave 15+ late
14%
Arrive 1h+ late
6%
Cancelled
1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
6.3d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at ATL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 19% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
16%
Yes 16%
No 84%
Leave SJU more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 16% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
14%
Yes 14%
No 86%
Arrive at ATL more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
6%
Yes 6%
No 94%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: 1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to ATL?
On time or early
83%
15–30 min late
6%
30 min–1 hour late
4%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
This flight has been late 44% of the time recently
↑
F9's recent on-time record
↑
SJU is prone to delays
↓
Early flights usually leave on time
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at ATL
Weather at each end
SJU (origin)
Gusts 12 kt
Ceiling 1,300 ft
Visibility 10+ mi
Precip 0.03 in
ATL (destination)
Gusts 6 kt
Ceiling none (clear)
Visibility 10+ mi
Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.