Schedule: the flights that flew on Wednesday, Oct 7, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
FIJI AIRWAYS · FLIGHT FJ 811
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Wednesday, October 14
FJ 811 · LAX → NAN
departs 12:07 AM PT · arrives 6:00 AM +12
Forecast issued Mon 3:00 PM ET · 36h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 26%
Tue 10/13 10%
Wed 10/14
Thu 10/15 21%
Fri 10/16 21%
Sat 10/17 24%
Sun 10/18 23%
Odds over time
Arrive at NAN more than 15 minutes late?
17%
chance · ±2 pts
+1 pt · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
17%
Leave 15+ late
21%
Arrive 1h+ late
2%
Cancelled
2%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
6.1d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at NAN more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 18% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
17%
Yes 17%
No 83%
Leave LAX more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 18% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
21%
Yes 21%
No 79%
Arrive at NAN more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: 1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
How late will it get to NAN?
On time or early
81%
15–30 min late
6%
30 min–1 hour late
8%
1–2 hours late
1%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
2%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
This route's recent record
↑
FJ's recent on-time record
↑
LAX is prone to delays
↓
Wednesdays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at LAX
Weather at each end
LAX (origin)
Gusts 14 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
NAN (destination)
Gusts 5 kt Ceiling — Visibility — Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.