Schedule: the flights that flew on Wednesday, Oct 7, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
GOJET · FLIGHT G7 4183
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Wednesday, October 14
G7 4183 · DAY → ORD
departs 9:06 AM ET · arrives 9:41 AM CT
Forecast issued Mon 10:00 AM ET · 47h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 33%
Tue 10/13 15%
Wed 10/14
Thu 10/15 31%
Fri 10/16 20%
Sat 10/17 19%
Sun 10/18 23%
Odds over time
Arrive at ORD more than 15 minutes late?
32%
chance · ±3 pts
−4 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
32%
Leave 15+ late
24%
Arrive 1h+ late
9%
Cancelled
2%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
6.4d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at ORD more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 13% · changed −4 pts in 24h
−4 pts
32%
Yes 32%
No 68%
Leave DAY more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 9% · changed +5 pts in 24h
+5 pts
24%
Yes 24%
No 76%
Arrive at ORD more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
9%
Yes 9%
No 91%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: 1% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
How late will it get to ORD?
On time or early
67%
15–30 min late
9%
30 min–1 hour late
13%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
2%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 200 ft, 0.4 in of rain forecast at ORD that day
↑
Arrivals into ORD at that hour are often late
↑
ORD is busy at that time
↓
Wednesdays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
9am departures from DAY are usually not late
Weather at each end
DAY (origin)
Gusts 14 kt Ceiling 600 ft Visibility 4 mi Precip 0.56 in
ORD (destination)
Gusts 15 kt Ceiling 200 ft Visibility 4 mi Precip 0.25 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.