Schedule: the flights that flew on Wednesday, Oct 7, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

GOJET · FLIGHT G7 4465 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Wednesday, October 14

G7 4465 · EWR → ROC

departs 11:05 AM ET · arrives 12:25 PM ET

Forecast issued Mon 5:00 PM ET · 42h before departure

Arrive at ROC more than 15 minutes late?

14% chance · ±2 pts +0 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to ROC?

On time or early
85%
15–30 min late
6%
30 min–1 hour late
6%
1–2 hours late
<1%
Over 2 hours late
1%
Cancelled
1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ This route's recent record

↑ EWR is prone to delays

↑ 11am departures from EWR are often late

↓ Wednesdays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at EWR

Weather at each end

EWR (origin) Gusts18 kt Ceiling4,500 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

ROC (destination) Gusts16 kt Ceiling1,100 ft Visibility8 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

G7 4465 · EWR → ROC

Odds over time

How late will it get to ROC?