Schedule: the flights that flew on Wednesday, Oct 7, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
GOJET · FLIGHT G7 4512
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Wednesday, October 14
G7 4512 · ORD → LIT
departs 8:59 AM CT · arrives 10:54 AM CT
Forecast issued Sun 2:00 PM ET · 68h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 22%
Mon 10/12 20%
Tue 10/13 18%
Wed 10/14
Thu 10/15 29%
Fri 10/16 23%
Sat 10/17 27%
Odds over time
Arrive at LIT more than 15 minutes late?
33%
chance · ±0 pts
+7 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
33%
Leave 15+ late
21%
Arrive 1h+ late
9%
Cancelled
1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
6.4d
Now
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at LIT more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 16% · changed +7 pts in 24h
+7 pts
33%
Yes 33%
No 67%
Leave ORD more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 10% · changed +4 pts in 24h
+4 pts
21%
Yes 21%
No 79%
Arrive at LIT more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
9%
Yes 9%
No 91%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to LIT?
On time or early
66%
15–30 min late
15%
30 min–1 hour late
9%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 200 ft forecast at ORD that day
↑
8am departures from ORD are often late
↑
This route's recent record
↓
Wednesdays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
Cloud base down to 200 ft forecast at LIT that day
Weather at each end
ORD (origin)
Gusts 11 kt Ceiling 200 ft Visibility 6 mi Precip 0.17 in
LIT (destination)
Gusts 13 kt Ceiling 200 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.