Schedule: the flights that flew on Wednesday, Oct 7, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
GOJET · FLIGHT G7 4540
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Wednesday, October 14
G7 4540 · CHA → ORD
departs 6:04 AM ET · arrives 7:03 AM CT
Forecast issued Mon 3:00 AM ET · 51h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 10%
Tue 10/13 9%
Wed 10/14
Thu 10/15 27%
Fri 10/16 18%
Sat 10/17 13%
Sun 10/18 23%
Odds over time
Arrive at ORD more than 15 minutes late?
34%
chance · ±2 pts
– · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
34%
Leave 15+ late
14%
Arrive 1h+ late
9%
Cancelled
4%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
6.3d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at ORD more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 13% · changed – in 24h
–
34%
Yes 34%
No 66%
Leave CHA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 9% · changed – in 24h
–
14%
Yes 14%
No 86%
Arrive at ORD more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 4% · changed – in 24h
–
9%
Yes 9%
No 91%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: 1% · changed – in 24h
–
4%
Yes 4%
No 96%
How late will it get to ORD?
On time or early
64%
15–30 min late
8%
30 min–1 hour late
16%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
5%
Cancelled
4%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 200 ft, 0.3 in of rain forecast at ORD that day
↑
CHA is prone to delays
↑
Arrivals into ORD at that hour are often late
↓
Early flights usually leave on time
↓
Wednesdays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
CHA (origin)
Gusts 6 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
ORD (destination)
Gusts 16 kt Ceiling 200 ft Visibility 3 mi Precip 0.43 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.