Schedule: the flights that flew on Wednesday, Oct 7, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
GOJET · FLIGHT G7 4557
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Wednesday, October 14
G7 4557 · COU → ORD
departs 6:12 AM CT · arrives 7:56 AM CT
Forecast issued Sun 7:00 PM ET · 60h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 12%
Mon 10/12 12%
Tue 10/13 10%
Wed 10/14
Thu 10/15 14%
Fri 10/16 15%
Sat 10/17 15%
Odds over time
Arrive at ORD more than 15 minutes late?
16%
chance · ±2 pts
– · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
16%
Leave 15+ late
17%
Arrive 1h+ late
10%
Cancelled
5%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
6.3d
Now
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at ORD more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed – in 24h
–
16%
Yes 16%
No 84%
Leave COU more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 8% · changed – in 24h
–
17%
Yes 17%
No 83%
Arrive at ORD more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 4% · changed – in 24h
–
10%
Yes 10%
No 90%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: 1% · changed – in 24h
–
5%
Yes 5%
No 95%
How late will it get to ORD?
On time or early
80%
15–30 min late
0%
30 min–1 hour late
5%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
7%
Cancelled
5%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 200 ft forecast at ORD that day
↑
Cloud base down to 600 ft, 0.8 in of rain forecast at COU that day
↑
Arrivals into ORD at that hour are often late
↓
Early flights usually leave on time
↓
Other factors
Weather at each end
COU (origin)
Gusts 10 kt Ceiling 200 ft Visibility 3 mi Precip 0.83 in
ORD (destination)
Gusts 14 kt Ceiling 200 ft Visibility 4 mi Precip 0.09 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.