tailodds FORECAST

Schedule: the flights that flew on Wednesday, Oct 7, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

JAPAN AIRLINES · FLIGHT JL 56 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

JL 56 · NRT → ORD

departs 9:43 AM JST · arrives 7:03 AM CT
Forecast issued Sun 3:00 PM ET · 54h before departure
Arrive at ORD more than 15 minutes late?
22% chance · ±1 pts −2 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
MOSTLY HISTORY WEATHER FORECASTS LIVE IN THE AIR 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 5.9d Now 1d 12h 6h Departs Lands

How late will it get to ORD?

  1. On time or early
    77%
  2. 15–30 min late
    8%
  3. 30 min–1 hour late
    8%
  4. 1–2 hours late
    3%
  5. Over 2 hours late
    2%
  6. Cancelled
    1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.