Schedule: the flights that flew on Wednesday, Oct 7, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

DENVER AIR CONNECTION · FLIGHT KG 356 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Wednesday, October 14

KG 356 · CPR → CYS

departs 6:28 PM MT · arrives 7:34 PM MT

Forecast issued Mon 9:00 PM ET · 48h before departure

Arrive at CYS more than 15 minutes late?

22% chance · ±3 pts +3 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to CYS?

On time or early
76%
15–30 min late
8%
30 min–1 hour late
7%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
3%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 400 ft, visibility down to 1.33333 mi forecast at CYS that day

↑ Cloud base down to 700 ft, visibility down to 0.7 mi, 0.3 in of rain forecast at CPR that day

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↓ Wednesdays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ Arrivals into CYS at that hour are usually not late

Weather at each end

CPR (origin) Gusts19 kt Ceiling700 ft Visibility0.7 mi Precip0.43 in

CYS (destination) Gusts16 kt Ceiling400 ft Visibility1.33333 mi Precip0.28 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

KG 356 · CPR → CYS

Odds over time

How late will it get to CYS?