Schedule: the flights that flew on Wednesday, Oct 7, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

EL AL · FLIGHT LY 16 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Wednesday, October 14

LY 16 · BOS → TLV

departs 1:36 PM ET · arrives 6:40 AM IDT

Forecast issued Mon 6:00 PM ET · 44h before departure

Arrive at TLV more than 15 minutes late?

18% chance · ±3 pts +2 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to TLV?

On time or early
81%
15–30 min late
9%
30 min–1 hour late
4%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
2%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ This route's recent record

↑ 1pm departures from BOS are often late

↑ Cloud base down to 200 ft, visibility down to 0.5 mi forecast at BOS that day

↓ Wednesdays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at TLV

Weather at each end

BOS (origin) Gusts20 kt Ceiling200 ft Visibility0.5 mi Precip0.08 in

TLV (destination) Gusts8 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

LY 16 · BOS → TLV

Odds over time

How late will it get to TLV?