Schedule: the flights that flew on Wednesday, Oct 7, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
ENVOY · FLIGHT MQ 3408
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Wednesday, October 14 Tomorrow
MQ 3408 · BOS → CVG
departs 6:52 PM ET · arrives 9:26 PM ET
Forecast issued Tue 12:00 AM ET · 43h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 56%
Wed 10/14
Thu 10/15 37%
Fri 10/16 44%
Sat 10/17 33%
Sun 10/18 31%
Mon 10/19 31%
Odds over time
Arrive at CVG more than 15 minutes late?
41%
chance · ±5 pts
+0 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
41%
Leave 15+ late
33%
Arrive 1h+ late
14%
Cancelled
2%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
6.8d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at CVG more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 16% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
41%
Yes 41%
No 59%
Leave BOS more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 15% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
33%
Yes 33%
No 67%
Arrive at CVG more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
14%
Yes 14%
No 86%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
How late will it get to CVG?
On time or early
57%
15–30 min late
13%
30 min–1 hour late
14%
1–2 hours late
10%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
2%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
6pm departures from BOS are often late
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
This flight has been late 27% of the time recently
↓
Wednesdays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
CVG usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
BOS (origin)
Gusts 20 kt Ceiling 200 ft Visibility 0.5 mi Precip 0.01 in
CVG (destination)
Gusts 12 kt Ceiling 600 ft Visibility 3 mi Precip 0.42 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.