Schedule: the flights that flew on Wednesday, Oct 7, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
ENVOY · FLIGHT MQ 3495
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Wednesday, October 14
MQ 3495 · DFW → LBB
departs 9:07 AM CT · arrives 10:21 AM CT
Forecast issued Sun 2:00 PM ET · 68h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 14%
Mon 10/12 10%
Tue 10/13 14%
Wed 10/14
Thu 10/15 14%
Fri 10/16 19%
Sat 10/17 13%
Odds over time
Arrive at LBB more than 15 minutes late?
18%
chance · ±2 pts
+2 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
18%
Leave 15+ late
13%
Arrive 1h+ late
3%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
6.4d
Now
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at LBB more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 10% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
18%
Yes 18%
No 82%
Leave DFW more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 9% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
13%
Yes 13%
No 87%
Arrive at LBB more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 2% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
3%
Yes 3%
No 97%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to LBB?
On time or early
82%
15–30 min late
10%
30 min–1 hour late
4%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
0.4 in of rain forecast at LBB that day
↑
9am departures from DFW are often late
↑
LBB is prone to delays
↓
Wednesdays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
Arrivals into LBB at that hour are usually not late
Weather at each end
DFW (origin)
Gusts 22 kt Ceiling 1,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
LBB (destination)
Gusts 16 kt Ceiling 1,600 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.36 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.