Schedule: the flights that flew on Wednesday, Oct 7, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
ENVOY · FLIGHT MQ 3500
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Wednesday, October 14
MQ 3500 · DFW → LBB
departs 7:12 AM CT · arrives 8:36 AM CT
Forecast issued Sun 9:00 PM ET · 59h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 10%
Mon 10/12 12%
Tue 10/13 8%
Wed 10/14
Thu 10/15 11%
Fri 10/16 12%
Sat 10/17 10%
Odds over time
Arrive at LBB more than 15 minutes late?
15%
chance · ±4 pts
– · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
15%
Leave 15+ late
11%
Arrive 1h+ late
4%
Cancelled
1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
6.3d
Now
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at LBB more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed – in 24h
–
15%
Yes 15%
No 85%
Leave DFW more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 8% · changed – in 24h
–
11%
Yes 11%
No 89%
Arrive at LBB more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 2% · changed – in 24h
–
4%
Yes 4%
No 96%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed – in 24h
–
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to LBB?
On time or early
84%
15–30 min late
6%
30 min–1 hour late
6%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
0.8 in of rain forecast at LBB that day
↑
LBB is prone to delays
↓
Arrivals into LBB at that hour are usually not late
↓
Early flights usually leave on time
Weather at each end
DFW (origin)
Gusts 23 kt Ceiling 1,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
LBB (destination)
Gusts 18 kt Ceiling 6,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 1.25 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.