Schedule: the flights that flew on Wednesday, Oct 7, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
ENVOY · FLIGHT MQ 3624
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Wednesday, October 14
MQ 3624 · SGF → DFW
departs 8:14 AM CT · arrives 9:54 AM CT
Forecast issued Sun 2:00 PM ET · 67h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 14%
Mon 10/12 10%
Wed 10/14
Thu 10/15 16%
Fri 10/16 16%
Sat 10/17 14%
Odds over time
Arrive at DFW more than 15 minutes late?
25%
chance · ±2 pts
+12 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
25%
Leave 15+ late
16%
Arrive 1h+ late
9%
Cancelled
1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
6.4d
Now
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at DFW more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 7% · changed +12 pts in 24h
+12 pts
25%
Yes 25%
No 75%
Leave SGF more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed +7 pts in 24h
+7 pts
16%
Yes 16%
No 84%
Arrive at DFW more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed +4 pts in 24h
+4 pts
9%
Yes 9%
No 91%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to DFW?
On time or early
74%
15–30 min late
8%
30 min–1 hour late
7%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
5%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 600 ft, 0.6 in of rain forecast at SGF that day
↑
DFW is busy at that time
↑
DFW is prone to delays
↓
Wednesdays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
8am departures from SGF are usually not late
Weather at each end
SGF (origin)
Gusts 13 kt Ceiling 600 ft Visibility 4 mi Precip 0.65 in
DFW (destination)
Gusts 22 kt Ceiling 1,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.