Schedule: the flights that flew on Wednesday, Oct 7, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
ENVOY · FLIGHT MQ 3718
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Wednesday, October 14
MQ 3718 · LBB → DFW
departs 7:20 AM CT · arrives 8:41 AM CT
Forecast issued Mon 4:00 PM ET · 40h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 16%
Tue 10/13 12%
Wed 10/14
Thu 10/15 17%
Fri 10/16 20%
Sat 10/17 14%
Sun 10/18 18%
Odds over time
Arrive at DFW more than 15 minutes late?
19%
chance · ±2 pts
+0 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
19%
Leave 15+ late
15%
Arrive 1h+ late
5%
Cancelled
2%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
6.3d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at DFW more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 9% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
19%
Yes 19%
No 81%
Leave LBB more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 8% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
15%
Yes 15%
No 85%
Arrive at DFW more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
5%
Yes 5%
No 95%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
How late will it get to DFW?
On time or early
79%
15–30 min late
10%
30 min–1 hour late
3%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
2%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 700 ft, 1.2 in of rain forecast at LBB that day
↑
MQ's recent on-time record
↑
DFW is prone to delays
↓
Early flights usually leave on time
↓
7am departures from LBB are usually not late
Weather at each end
LBB (origin)
Gusts 20 kt Ceiling 700 ft Visibility 4 mi Precip 1.64 in
DFW (destination)
Gusts 23 kt Ceiling 1,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.