Schedule: the flights that flew on Wednesday, Oct 7, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
ENVOY · FLIGHT MQ 3913
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Wednesday, October 14
MQ 3913 · SGF → DFW
departs 9:22 AM CT · arrives 10:51 AM CT
Forecast issued Mon 12:00 AM ET · 58h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 23%
Tue 10/13 12%
Wed 10/14
Thu 10/15 16%
Fri 10/16 14%
Sat 10/17 13%
Sun 10/18 16%
Odds over time
Arrive at DFW more than 15 minutes late?
20%
chance · ±3 pts
– · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
20%
Leave 15+ late
17%
Arrive 1h+ late
8%
Cancelled
1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
6.4d
Now
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at DFW more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed – in 24h
–
20%
Yes 20%
No 80%
Leave SGF more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 7% · changed – in 24h
–
17%
Yes 17%
No 83%
Arrive at DFW more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed – in 24h
–
8%
Yes 8%
No 92%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed – in 24h
–
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to DFW?
On time or early
79%
15–30 min late
6%
30 min–1 hour late
7%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 300 ft, 1.2 in of rain forecast at SGF that day
↑
DFW is busy at that time
↑
DFW is prone to delays
↓
Wednesdays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
9am departures from SGF are usually not late
Weather at each end
SGF (origin)
Gusts 14 kt Ceiling 300 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 1.21 in
DFW (destination)
Gusts 23 kt Ceiling 1,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.