Schedule: the flights that flew on Wednesday, Oct 7, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
ENVOY · FLIGHT MQ 4063
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Wednesday, October 14
MQ 4063 · DFW → TUL
departs 7:07 AM CT · arrives 8:28 AM CT
Forecast issued Sun 9:00 PM ET · 59h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 9%
Mon 10/12 8%
Tue 10/13 8%
Wed 10/14
Thu 10/15 12%
Fri 10/16 13%
Sat 10/17 10%
Odds over time
Arrive at TUL more than 15 minutes late?
19%
chance · ±6 pts
– · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
19%
Leave 15+ late
11%
Arrive 1h+ late
5%
Cancelled
2%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
6.3d
Now
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at TUL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed – in 24h
–
19%
Yes 19%
No 81%
Leave DFW more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 7% · changed – in 24h
–
11%
Yes 11%
No 89%
Arrive at TUL more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 2% · changed – in 24h
–
5%
Yes 5%
No 95%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed – in 24h
–
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
How late will it get to TUL?
On time or early
80%
15–30 min late
8%
30 min–1 hour late
6%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
1%
Cancelled
2%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
1.4 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at TUL that day
↓
Wednesdays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
Early flights usually leave on time
Weather at each end
DFW (origin)
Gusts 23 kt Ceiling 1,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
TUL (destination)
Gusts 14 kt Ceiling 1,500 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 1.42 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.