Schedule: the flights that flew on Wednesday, Oct 7, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

PSA · FLIGHT OH 5032 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Wednesday, October 14

OH 5032 · PIT → PHL

departs 1:07 PM ET · arrives 2:37 PM ET

Forecast issued Mon 4:00 PM ET · 45h before departure

Arrive at PHL more than 15 minutes late?

22% chance · ±3 pts +6 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to PHL?

On time or early
77%
15–30 min late
6%
30 min–1 hour late
9%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 400 ft forecast at PIT that day

↑ This flight has been late 28% of the time recently

↑ PHL is prone to delays

↓ Wednesdays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at PHL

Weather at each end

PIT (origin) Gusts18 kt Ceiling400 ft Visibility3 mi Precip0.49 in

PHL (destination) Gusts16 kt Ceiling5,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OH 5032 · PIT → PHL

Odds over time

How late will it get to PHL?