Schedule: the flights that flew on Wednesday, Oct 7, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

PSA · FLIGHT OH 5229 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Wednesday, October 14 Tomorrow

OH 5229 · DAY → PHL

departs 6:11 AM ET · arrives 8:01 AM ET

Forecast issued Mon 10:00 PM ET · 32h before departure

Arrive at PHL more than 15 minutes late?

6% chance · ±1 pts +0 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to PHL?

On time or early
93%
15–30 min late
<1%
30 min–1 hour late
0%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ OH's recent on-time record

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ Arrivals into PHL at that hour are usually not late

Weather at each end

DAY (origin) Gusts14 kt Ceiling1,500 ft Visibility4 mi Precip0.55 in

PHL (destination) Gusts16 kt Ceiling5,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OH 5229 · DAY → PHL

Odds over time

How late will it get to PHL?