Schedule: the flights that flew on Wednesday, Oct 7, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

PSA · FLIGHT OH 5285 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Wednesday, October 14 Tomorrow

OH 5285 · PHL → PWM

departs 9:01 PM ET · arrives 10:41 PM ET

Forecast issued Tue 1:00 AM ET · 44h before departure

Arrive at PWM more than 15 minutes late?

16% chance · ±0 pts +1 pt · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to PWM?

On time or early
83%
15–30 min late
3%
30 min–1 hour late
6%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↑ This flight has been late 18% of the time recently

↑ 9pm departures from PHL are often late

↓ Wednesdays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at PHL

Weather at each end

PHL (origin) Gusts16 kt Ceiling4,900 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

PWM (destination) Gusts11 kt Ceiling200 ft Visibility0.7 mi Precip0.16 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OH 5285 · PHL → PWM

Odds over time

How late will it get to PWM?