Schedule: the flights that flew on Wednesday, Oct 7, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

PSA · FLIGHT OH 5326 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Wednesday, October 14

OH 5326 · PHL → BTV

departs 5:27 PM ET · arrives 6:59 PM ET

Forecast issued Mon 3:00 PM ET · 50h before departure

Arrive at BTV more than 15 minutes late?

20% chance · ±0 pts +5 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to BTV?

On time or early
79%
15–30 min late
6%
30 min–1 hour late
9%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 5pm departures from PHL are often late

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↑ Cloud base down to 433 ft, visibility down to 1.33333 mi, 0.3 in of rain forecast at BTV that day

↓ Wednesdays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ BTV usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

PHL (origin) Gusts16 kt Ceiling5,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

BTV (destination) Gusts18 kt Ceiling367 ft Visibility1.33333 mi Precip0.17 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OH 5326 · PHL → BTV

Odds over time

How late will it get to BTV?