Schedule: the flights that flew on Wednesday, Oct 7, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

PSA · FLIGHT OH 5461 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Wednesday, October 14 Tomorrow

OH 5461 · PHL → CMH

departs 8:27 AM ET · arrives 10:09 AM ET

Forecast issued Tue 12:00 AM ET · 32h before departure

Arrive at CMH more than 15 minutes late?

12% chance · ±1 pts +1 pt · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to CMH?

On time or early
87%
15–30 min late
5%
30 min–1 hour late
4%
1–2 hours late
1%
Over 2 hours late
1%
Cancelled
1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ OH's recent on-time record

↑ Cloud base down to 1,300 ft, 0.3 in of rain forecast at CMH that day

↑ This flight has been late 20% of the time recently

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at PHL

↓ Wednesdays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

PHL (origin) Gusts16 kt Ceiling9,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

CMH (destination) Gusts13 kt Ceiling1,300 ft Visibility4 mi Precip0.34 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OH 5461 · PHL → CMH

Odds over time

How late will it get to CMH?