Schedule: the flights that flew on Wednesday, Oct 7, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 3821
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Wednesday, October 14
OO 3821 · EUG → SLC
departs 1:38 PM PT · arrives 4:38 PM MT
Forecast issued Sun 11:00 PM ET · 66h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 25%
Tue 10/13 13%
Wed 10/14
Thu 10/15 12%
Fri 10/16 12%
Sat 10/17 11%
Sun 10/18 14%
Odds over time
Arrive at SLC more than 15 minutes late?
8%
chance · ±1 pts
– · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
8%
Leave 15+ late
11%
Arrive 1h+ late
6%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
6.7d
Now
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at SLC more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 7% · changed – in 24h
–
8%
Yes 8%
No 92%
Leave EUG more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 10% · changed – in 24h
–
11%
Yes 11%
No 89%
Arrive at SLC more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed – in 24h
–
6%
Yes 6%
No 94%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed – in 24h
–
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to SLC?
On time or early
91%
15–30 min late
3%
30 min–1 hour late
0%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
EUG is prone to delays
↑
1pm departures from EUG are often late
↓
Wednesdays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
SLC usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
EUG (origin)
Gusts 15 kt Ceiling 200 ft Visibility 7 mi Precip none
SLC (destination)
Gusts 14 kt Ceiling 4,600 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.10 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.