Schedule: the flights that flew on Wednesday, Oct 7, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 3828
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Wednesday, October 14
OO 3828 · SLC → BIL
departs 4:25 PM MT · arrives 5:52 PM MT
Forecast issued Sun 8:00 PM ET · 70h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 47%
Mon 10/12 19%
Tue 10/13 12%
Wed 10/14
Thu 10/15 8%
Fri 10/16 8%
Sat 10/17 10%
Odds over time
Arrive at BIL more than 15 minutes late?
6%
chance · ±0 pts
– · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
6%
Leave 15+ late
9%
Arrive 1h+ late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
3%
6%
9%
12%
6.8d
Now
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at BIL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 4% · changed – in 24h
–
6%
Yes 6%
No 94%
Leave SLC more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed – in 24h
–
9%
Yes 9%
No 91%
Arrive at BIL more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 2% · changed – in 24h
–
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed – in 24h
–
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to BIL?
On time or early
93%
15–30 min late
2%
30 min–1 hour late
2%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
0.3 in of rain forecast at SLC that day
↑
4pm departures from SLC are often late
↓
This flight has been late 12% of the time recently
↓
Wednesdays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
SLC (origin)
Gusts 11 kt Ceiling 4,600 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.33 in
BIL (destination)
Gusts 9 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.