Schedule: the flights that flew on Wednesday, Oct 7, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 3840
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Wednesday, October 14
OO 3840 · ASE → ATL
departs 7:28 AM MT · arrives 1:04 PM ET
Forecast issued Mon 11:00 AM ET · 46h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 13%
Tue 10/13 13%
Wed 10/14
Thu 10/15 14%
Fri 10/16 16%
Sat 10/17 18%
Sun 10/18 16%
Odds over time
Arrive at ATL more than 15 minutes late?
15%
chance · ±0 pts
−5 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
15%
Leave 15+ late
15%
Arrive 1h+ late
9%
Cancelled
7%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
6.4d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at ATL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 8% · changed −5 pts in 24h
−5 pts
15%
Yes 15%
No 85%
Leave ASE more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 10% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
15%
Yes 15%
No 85%
Arrive at ATL more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
9%
Yes 9%
No 91%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: 2% · changed −8 pts in 24h
−8 pts
7%
Yes 7%
No 93%
How late will it get to ATL?
On time or early
79%
15–30 min late
2%
30 min–1 hour late
4%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
7%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 100 ft, visibility down to 1 mi, 0.6 in of rain forecast at ASE that day
↑
This flight has been late 25% of the time recently
↑
OO's recent on-time record
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at ATL
↓
Wednesdays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
ASE (origin)
Gusts 23 kt Ceiling 100 ft Visibility 1 mi Precip 0.62 in
ATL (destination)
Gusts 6 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 9 mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.