Schedule: the flights that flew on Wednesday, Oct 7, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 3876
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Wednesday, October 14
OO 3876 · DEN → AUS
departs 9:30 AM MT · arrives 12:45 PM CT
Forecast issued Mon 10:00 PM ET · 38h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 18%
Tue 10/13 15%
Wed 10/14
Thu 10/15 20%
Fri 10/16 19%
Sat 10/17 20%
Sun 10/18 21%
Odds over time
Arrive at AUS more than 15 minutes late?
25%
chance · ±1 pts
−6 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
25%
Leave 15+ late
17%
Arrive 1h+ late
5%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
6.5d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at AUS more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 10% · changed −6 pts in 24h
−6 pts
25%
Yes 25%
No 75%
Leave DEN more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 10% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
17%
Yes 17%
No 83%
Arrive at AUS more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
5%
Yes 5%
No 95%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to AUS?
On time or early
74%
15–30 min late
11%
30 min–1 hour late
9%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 400 ft, visibility down to 0.733333 mi forecast at DEN that day
↑
This flight has been late 16% of the time recently
↑
Gusts to 25 kt, cloud base down to 600 ft forecast at AUS that day
↓
Wednesdays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
Early flights usually leave on time
Weather at each end
DEN (origin)
Gusts 18 kt Ceiling 400 ft Visibility 0.733333 mi Precip 0.19 in
AUS (destination)
Gusts 25 kt Ceiling 700 ft Visibility 8 mi Precip 0.03 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.