Schedule: the flights that flew on Wednesday, Oct 7, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 3896
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Wednesday, October 14
OO 3896 · SLC → OMA
departs 1:30 PM MT · arrives 4:51 PM CT
Forecast issued Mon 11:00 AM ET · 52h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 27%
Tue 10/13 11%
Wed 10/14
Thu 10/15 7%
Fri 10/16 8%
Sun 10/18 9%
Odds over time
Arrive at OMA more than 15 minutes late?
7%
chance · ±0 pts
– · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
7%
Leave 15+ late
8%
Arrive 1h+ late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
3%
6%
9%
12%
6.6d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at OMA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed – in 24h
–
7%
Yes 7%
No 93%
Leave SLC more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 7% · changed – in 24h
–
8%
Yes 8%
No 92%
Arrive at OMA more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 2% · changed – in 24h
–
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed – in 24h
–
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to OMA?
On time or early
93%
15–30 min late
3%
30 min–1 hour late
2%
1–2 hours late
1%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Early flights usually leave on time
↑
Arrivals into OMA at that hour are often late
↓
SLC usually runs smoothly
↓
Wednesdays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
SLC (origin)
Gusts 17 kt Ceiling 3,900 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.04 in
OMA (destination)
Gusts 13 kt Ceiling 4,200 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.11 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.