Schedule: the flights that flew on Wednesday, Oct 7, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 4006
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Wednesday, October 14
OO 4006 · TUL → SLC
departs 8:00 AM CT · arrives 9:55 AM MT
Forecast issued Mon 10:00 AM ET · 47h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 11%
Tue 10/13 6%
Wed 10/14
Thu 10/15 5%
Fri 10/16 6%
Sat 10/17 6%
Sun 10/18 7%
Odds over time
Arrive at SLC more than 15 minutes late?
10%
chance · ±6 pts
−1 pt · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
10%
Leave 15+ late
9%
Arrive 1h+ late
6%
Cancelled
1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
6.4d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at SLC more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
10%
Yes 10%
No 90%
Leave TUL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed −3 pts in 24h
−3 pts
9%
Yes 9%
No 91%
Arrive at SLC more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 2% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
6%
Yes 6%
No 94%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to SLC?
On time or early
89%
15–30 min late
1%
30 min–1 hour late
2%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 1,267 ft, 1.5 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at TUL that day
↑
Mostly benign weather forecast at SLC
↓
SLC usually runs smoothly
↓
Wednesdays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
TUL (origin)
Gusts 13 kt Ceiling 1,400 ft Visibility 9.33333 mi Precip 1.23 in
SLC (destination)
Gusts 17 kt Ceiling 3,900 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.04 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.