Schedule: the flights that flew on Wednesday, Oct 7, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 4022
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Wednesday, October 14
OO 4022 · JAC → SLC
departs 7:40 AM MT · arrives 8:50 AM MT
Forecast issued Sun 8:00 PM ET · 62h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 25%
Mon 10/12 25%
Tue 10/13 16%
Wed 10/14
Thu 10/15 14%
Fri 10/16 14%
Sat 10/17 12%
Odds over time
Arrive at SLC more than 15 minutes late?
14%
chance · ±1 pts
– · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
14%
Leave 15+ late
12%
Arrive 1h+ late
6%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
6.4d
Now
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at SLC more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed – in 24h
–
14%
Yes 14%
No 86%
Leave JAC more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed – in 24h
–
12%
Yes 12%
No 88%
Arrive at SLC more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed – in 24h
–
6%
Yes 6%
No 94%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed – in 24h
–
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to SLC?
On time or early
85%
15–30 min late
6%
30 min–1 hour late
2%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Mostly benign weather forecast at JAC
↑
0.3 in of rain forecast at SLC that day
↑
JAC is prone to delays
↓
SLC usually runs smoothly
↓
Wednesdays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
JAC (origin)
Gusts 8 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.01 in
SLC (destination)
Gusts 11 kt Ceiling 4,600 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.33 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.