Schedule: the flights that flew on Wednesday, Oct 7, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 4052
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Wednesday, October 14
OO 4052 · SLC → LIT
departs 1:18 PM MT · arrives 5:21 PM CT
Forecast issued Mon 4:00 AM ET · 59h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 25%
Tue 10/13 13%
Wed 10/14
Thu 10/15 12%
Fri 10/16 12%
Sat 10/17 8%
Sun 10/18 14%
Odds over time
Arrive at LIT more than 15 minutes late?
9%
chance · ±0 pts
– · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
9%
Leave 15+ late
11%
Arrive 1h+ late
5%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
6.6d
Now
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at LIT more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed – in 24h
–
9%
Yes 9%
No 91%
Leave SLC more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 8% · changed – in 24h
–
11%
Yes 11%
No 89%
Arrive at LIT more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed – in 24h
–
5%
Yes 5%
No 95%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed – in 24h
–
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to LIT?
On time or early
90%
15–30 min late
4%
30 min–1 hour late
0%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Early flights usually leave on time
↑
Other factors
↑
SLC is busy at that time
↓
SLC usually runs smoothly
↓
Wednesdays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
SLC (origin)
Gusts 15 kt Ceiling 3,200 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.09 in
LIT (destination)
Gusts 12 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.02 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.