Schedule: the flights that flew on Wednesday, Oct 7, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 4311
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Wednesday, October 14
OO 4311 · EKO → SLC
departs 6:30 AM PT · arrives 8:33 AM MT
Forecast issued Sun 2:00 PM ET · 68h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 9%
Mon 10/12 9%
Tue 10/13 9%
Wed 10/14
Thu 10/15 4%
Fri 10/16 4%
Sat 10/17 5%
Odds over time
Arrive at SLC more than 15 minutes late?
5%
chance · ±0 pts
+2 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
5%
Leave 15+ late
4%
Arrive 1h+ late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
3%
6%
9%
12%
6.4d
Now
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at SLC more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 2% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
5%
Yes 5%
No 95%
Leave EKO more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
4%
Yes 4%
No 96%
Arrive at SLC more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 2% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to SLC?
On time or early
94%
15–30 min late
0%
30 min–1 hour late
3%
1–2 hours late
<1%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Mostly benign weather forecast at EKO
↑
Mostly benign weather forecast at SLC
↑
Other factors
↓
6am departures from EKO are usually not late
↓
This flight has been late 5% of the time recently
Weather at each end
EKO (origin)
Gusts 3 kt
Ceiling none (clear)
Visibility 10+ mi
Precip none
SLC (destination)
Gusts 6 kt
Ceiling 5,000 ft
Visibility 10+ mi
Precip 0.18 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.