Schedule: the flights that flew on Wednesday, Oct 7, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 4333
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Wednesday, October 14
OO 4333 · SLC → CNY
departs 3:44 PM MT · arrives 4:56 PM MT
Forecast issued Mon 7:00 AM ET · 59h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 34%
Tue 10/13 14%
Wed 10/14
Thu 10/15 10%
Fri 10/16 9%
Sat 10/17 9%
Sun 10/18 12%
Odds over time
Arrive at CNY more than 15 minutes late?
10%
chance · ±1 pts
– · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
10%
Leave 15+ late
9%
Arrive 1h+ late
4%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
6.7d
Now
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at CNY more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed – in 24h
–
10%
Yes 10%
No 90%
Leave SLC more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed – in 24h
–
9%
Yes 9%
No 91%
Arrive at CNY more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed – in 24h
–
4%
Yes 4%
No 96%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed – in 24h
–
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to CNY?
On time or early
89%
15–30 min late
4%
30 min–1 hour late
2%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Mostly benign weather forecast at CNY
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
This route's recent record
↓
SLC usually runs smoothly
↓
Arrivals into CNY at that hour are usually not late
Weather at each end
SLC (origin)
Gusts 15 kt Ceiling 3,900 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.09 in
CNY (destination)
Gusts 11 kt Ceiling 800 ft Visibility 3 mi Precip 0.23 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.