Schedule: the flights that flew on Wednesday, Oct 7, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 4449
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Wednesday, October 14
OO 4449 · SLC → COS
departs 3:51 PM MT · arrives 5:35 PM MT
Forecast issued Mon 4:00 AM ET · 62h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 25%
Tue 10/13 14%
Wed 10/14
Thu 10/15 9%
Fri 10/16 8%
Sat 10/17 8%
Sun 10/18 11%
Odds over time
Arrive at COS more than 15 minutes late?
9%
chance · ±2 pts
– · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
9%
Leave 15+ late
6%
Arrive 1h+ late
4%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
6.7d
Now
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at COS more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed – in 24h
–
9%
Yes 9%
No 91%
Leave SLC more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed – in 24h
–
6%
Yes 6%
No 94%
Arrive at COS more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 2% · changed – in 24h
–
4%
Yes 4%
No 96%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed – in 24h
–
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to COS?
On time or early
90%
15–30 min late
3%
30 min–1 hour late
2%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 200 ft, visibility down to 0.8 mi forecast at COS that day
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↓
SLC usually runs smoothly
↓
This flight has been late 10% of the time recently
Weather at each end
SLC (origin)
Gusts 15 kt Ceiling 3,200 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.09 in
COS (destination)
Gusts 22 kt Ceiling 200 ft Visibility 0.8 mi Precip 0.31 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.